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Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI) – Reports After the Markets Close 2/9/17

Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Thursday, 2/9/17.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:


Nov 03, 2016

42.96
43.67
42.63
43.37
43.37
12,822,700

Nov 02, 2016

42.63
43.09
42.26
42.60
42.60
7,792,900

The current Implied Volatility on the weekly at-the-money strike price is at 175, which is extremely high. The at-the-money March 2017 strike price is at 36, so there is a major difference. The Neutral Calendar Spread is the strategy to use here. Everything looks good about it: weekly options, price to place the trade, wide break-even points, break-even points, and the high IV on the weekly at-the-money strike price. 9.5/10, trade of the week.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -20 ATVI FebWk2 40 Call

Buy 20 ATVI Mar17 40 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$720.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$720.00
Estimated Commission
$50.00

NBBO -0.29 – 0.43. Try to pay 0.37 or less for this trade. at a maximum, pay up to 0.38. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart. I will post the price to close this trade out right before the markets open tomorrow.

Update #1: 9:20 am EST – Pre-market, the stock is up about $4.70/share, but do expect the share price to fall. I am placing the price to close this trade out at $0.60 (net credit). I will update any changes here throughout the day.

Update #2: STC (net credit) now at 0.50.

New Year’s Discounted Subscription Rates – January 4, 2017 Through January 11, 2017

I am offering a discount on all Subscription Plans until January 11, 2017. Earnings will be picking up soon, as well, so should get plenty of these trades including the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Each subscription plan includes all of these strategies, including weekly debit spread trades.

Here are the following discounted rates:

One (1) Month Subscription – $129.00
Three (3) Month Subscription – $299.00
Six (6) Month Subscription – $449.00
One Year Subscription – $699.00
Lifetime Subscription – 999.00

If you have any questions about trading stock options or the subscription service, you can e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com

Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Big Lots, Inc. (BIG) – Reports Earnings Before the Markets Open 12/2/16

Big Lots, Inc. (BIG) is scheduled to report earnings before the markets open on Friday, 12/2/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Aug 26, 2016

54.47
54.99
50.12
50.57
4,571,200
50.36

Aug 25, 2016

53.93
55.00
51.49
52.94
3,308,700
52.72

(BIG) has never been too volatile of a stock post earnings, but it is often priced to do so. This trade, a Neutral Calendar Spread, carries minimal risk at the price to place this trade, and has extremely wide break-even points on the profit/loss chart. There are no weekly options, but not is not that much of an issue at all here. This is a very solid trade, should do very well. 9.5/10.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -25 BIG Dec16 50 Call

Buy 25 BIG Jan17 50 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,200.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,200.00
Estimated Commission
$62.50

NBBO 0.35 – 0.70. Try to pay 0.53 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.57. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart. I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the opening bell.

big-ncs-12116

Update 1: 9:20 am EST – Pre-market, the stock is up about $1.90/share. If it hangs around this range or moves down more, should be a great trade. I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at 1.40 for now. I will update any changes here, as needed.

Free Earnings Trade of the Week: GoPro, Inc. (GPRO) – Reports After the Markets Close On 11/3/16

GoPro, Inc. (GPRO) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Thursday, 11/3/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Jul 28, 2016

12.15
13.28
11.75
13.02
24,145,000
13.02

Jul 27, 2016

11.47
11.83
11.42
11.57
10,651,700
11.57

The Implied Volatility on the weekly at-the-money strike price is an extremely high 401. This is very rare. Compared this number to the November 2016 at-the-money strike price of 113, which is still high, but there’s still a huge discrepancy here. If the stock make a similar move as to what it did last quarter, the trade and strategy I am using here, the Neutral Calendar Spread, will be very profitable immediately. The price is excellent to place this trade, as well, with weekly options available. 9/10.

Here is how to place this trade:

Entered Trade

Sell -75 GPRO NovWk1 12 Call

Buy 75 GPRO Nov16 12 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$750.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$750.00
Estimated Commission
$187.50

NBBO
gpro-ncs-11316 0.06 – 0.13. Try to pay 0.10 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.11. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart. I will post the price to close this position out tomorrow morning right before the opening bell.

Update 1: 9:22 am EST, 11/4/16 – Pre-market, the stock is down about $2.00/share. This is close to what I expected, so I am anticipating the stock to recover off this low. I am placing the STC (net credit) at 0.30 for now, and will update any changes to this here.

Update 2, 10:07 am EST – price to close this trade out (net credit) now at 0.25.

Update 3: 10:42 am EST. Position closed at 0.27. Paid 0.12.

Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Six Flags Entertainment (SIX) – Reports Before the Markets Open 10/26/16

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (SIX) is scheduled to report earnings before the markets open on Wednesday, 10/26/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:


Jul 27, 2016

56.16
58.30
56.00
56.69
3,912,700
56.02

Jul 26, 2016

59.22
60.00
58.85
59.46
1,378,000
58.75

This is one of those trades where the price to place it alone makes it worth trading. Last quarter, (SIX) did not make a significant move at all, and while I am expecting the stock to move more this quarter, the break-even points on the P/L chart using a Neutral Calendar Spread strategy are very wide. The only minor issue regarding this trade is the lack of weekly options. other than that, this is an excellent set-up here. I am still giving this trade a 10/10 if you are able to get the order filled at my recommended price. It will retain value regardless how it moves tomorrow once the markets open.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -50 SIX Nov16 50 Call

Buy 50 SIX Dec16 50 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,000.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,000.00
Estimated Commission
$125.00

NBBO
0.00 – 0.30. Try to pay 0.20 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.22. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the markets open

six-ncs-102516

Update 1: 10/26/16, 9:25 am EST. – Pre-market, the stock is down $1.25/share. I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at $0.50. I will update any changes here.

Update 2: 10/26/16. 10:10 am EST. This trade is in a good spot. Just need time-decay to kick in. Be patient with the trade. STC still at 0.50.

Update 3: STC *(net credit) now at 0.40

Free Earnings Trade of the Week Starts Back Tomorrow

I will be posting a free Earnings Trade of the Week starting tomorrow and will post at least one trade per week here on the website. I will try to post each trade by 11:45 am EST but no later than 2:00 pm EST (depending on the stock/pricing, etc.). There are a lot of companies reporting tomorrow after the markets close, so will definitely have at least few trades to place. Yesterday’s Strangle on Netflix (NFLX), which I mentioned in an earlier post this morning, netted a 150% return on the call side, which I sold already. I still have the put side with one month of time-value.

My trading style is to close out profitable trades as soon as possible, and that was a great trade at a good price to pay at $3.10. I thought when initially looking at different strike prices that it would cost more than that. The pricing of options, and especially on the Straddle/Strangle strategy, are critical to their success.

If you have any questions about options, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks.

Earnings Season Starts This Week – Will Be a Busy Few Weeks Trading

With Alcoa (AA) and the big bank stocks reporting earnings this week (C), (JPM), (WFC), the next month will be full of earnings trades. I use trading strategies that take a neutral approach towards earnings. These include the Strangle, the Reverse Iron Condor, and the Neutral Calendar Spread.

There are still a couple of days left for the reduced subscription rates + match plan that I am offering.

If you have any questions about options or the strategies mentioned above, please e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks.

-Kevin

A Look at Next Weeks Earnings Releases and Trading Opportunities (7/18/16 – 7/22/16)

Next week, July 18th – July 22nd, will be full of some very good earnings trades. Here is a list of the stocks I will be looking to trade .

NFLX, VMW, YOO, ISRG, LMT, MSFT, UNH, AXP, EBAY, FFIV, IMAX, INTC, LVS, MAT, PII, QCOM, TSCO, URI, AMD, ATHN, SAM, COF, DHI, DPZ, DNKN, FLEX, GM, P, PYPL, SBUX, SYK, HON, VFC

As earnings season kicks into full gear next week there should be at least a few weeks with a lot of activity. When trading earnings releases, I use neutral-based strategies such as the Reverse Iron Condor, the Neutral Calendar Spread, the Double Neutral Calendar Spread, and the Straddle/Strangle.

If you have any questions about these strategies, stock options, or the subscription plans, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Very Busy Trading Day Using the Daily Options Trading Strategy on Thursday, June 16, 2016.

Today, 6/16/16, was a very busy day using the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Here is the list of trades made and closed out already.

550. Thursday, 6/16/16. TSLA at 9:41 am EST. 0.70 STC order above price paid/contract. July 215.00 calls. Paid 9.85 per contract.
551. Thursday, 6/16/16. BA at 9:51 am EST. 0.25 STC order above price paid/contract. July 130.00 calls. Paid 2.35 per contract.
552. Thursday, 6/16/16. FIT at 9:57 am EST. Original STC at 0.15 (Sold at break-even). July 13.00 calls. Paid 0.75 per contract.
553. Thursday, 6/16/16. FB at 10:04 am EST. 0.30 STC order above price paid/contract. July 115.00 calls. Paid 2.55 per contract.
554. Thursday, 6/16/16. BABA at 10:06 am EST. 0.30 STC order above price paid/contract. July 75.00 calls. Paid 3.50 per contract.
555. Thursday, 6/16/16. BIDU at 11:01 am EST. 0.60 STC order above price paid/contract. July 165.00 puts. Paid 7.00 per contract.

Here is the link to my Daily Trade Log using the DOTS: http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=480

This strategy works great in up or down markets, but actually prefer the markets to open down, as this presents more call buying opportunities. Overall, 5 call trades and one put trade so far…

The subscription service provides all of these trades in real-time, using Skype and Chatzy simultaneously, providing you with the ticker symbol, expiration date, STC (sell-to-close price above what is paid per contract) in advance of each trade, and when the position is closed out and at what price. The subscription also includes access to the Trading Forum, where I post my Weekly and Earnings trades, along with some long-term trades.

If you have any questions, you can e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks again.

-Kevin

Earnings Trade of the Week: PVH Corp. (PVH) Reports Earnings After The Markets Close On 5/25/16

PVH Corp. (PVH) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Wednesday, 5/25/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:


Mar 24, 2016

92.43
95.25
90.69
94.29
3,632,200
94.25

Mar 23, 2016

88.30
88.96
87.42
87.63
1,677,800
87.59

(PVH) has been a consistent winner over the years using a Neutral Calendar Spread, which I will also use here. I like this trade a lot. It has wide break-even points. If the stock only makes a marginal price move post-earnings, this trade will do extremely well, and still has plenty of room even if it moves more than expected. I am giving this trade a 9.5/10. Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -15 PVH Jun16 90 Call

Buy 15 PVH Jul16 90 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,200.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,200.00
Estimated Commission
$45.00

NBBO
0.50 – 1.10. Try to pay 0.80 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.90. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

PVH NCS 52416

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the opening bell.

Update 1: 9:25 am EST on 5/26/16: I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at $1.60. I will update any changes to this here, as needed.
Update 2: 3:20 pm EST on 5/26/16: I am increasing the price to close this trade out (net credit) to 1.70.
Update 3: 1:05 pm EST on 5/27/16: Current price to close this trade out now at $1.60.

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