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Current Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) List – Updated 4/18/16

Here is the current list of stocks I use for the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Updated on Monday, April 18, 2016:

Tier 1: AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOGL, NFLX, FB, PCLN, LNKD, TSLA

Tier 2: BA, BABA, TWTR, CMG, SQ, IBM, GPRO, FIT, V


Tier 3: DIS, EXPE, FFIV, CRM, DPZ, FDX, PANW, STZ, PX


Tier 4: BWLD, COST, UPS, MNST, AVGO, HD, NTES, INTU, ULTA

Next Weeks Earnings Schedule (4/18/16 – 4/22/16) – Busy Week Ahead

Next week will be on of the busiest all year in terms of the quantity (and quality) of earnings trades. Among the stocks reporting earnings are the following that I will most likely be trading: (Note: those in bold take preference)

LII, NFLX, RCL, DFS, HOG, ILMN, INTC, ISRG, EDU, PM, AXP, CTXS, FFIV, CCK, LVS, PKG, TSCO, YUM, TXT, SLM, URI, AMD, AMZN, GOOGL, SAM, BJRI, GM, MAN, MSFT, PII, SBUX, UA, UAL, V, UNP, CAT, HON, MCD, VZ, LUV, ETFC

I use strategies around earnings that are neutral-based, such as the Neutral calendar Spread, the Reverse Iron Condor, and the Straddle/Strangle. These are debit spread strategies that allow movement in either direction, and really, this is the ONLY way to trade earnings consistently and profit as it is a guessing game as to which direction a stock will move post-earnings, no matter how good or bad the results may be on a company’s quarterly report.

If you have any questions about these strategies or about trading stock options in general, feel free to e-mail me anytime at kmob79@gmail.com.

Thanks.

Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) and Earnings Trades, Refer-A-Friend Subscription Match Plan, San Diego Seminar In June 2016

There have been some very quick in and out trades lately on the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). You can see the Trade Log at http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=480.

Also, earnings trades have also been going very well, some of which I post for free weekly here on my website such as Square (SQ), Red Hat (RHT), CarMax (KMX), and others. Each week, there are always plenty of trading opportunities with earnings releases, and when you use a neutral-based approach as I do, it takes the guessing game out of the equation as to which direction a security will move post-earnings.

Each subscription not only includes my daily DOTS trades, but access to the Trading Forum, where all earnings, weekly, and long-term trades are posted. But there is more than that: I answer questions all day while trading, as my style of trading offers the opportunity to directly communicate with subscribers and to answer any questions you may have throughout the day, along with interacting with many trader’s all over the world. Whether on Skype, Chatzy, or by e-mail, I am always available to help assist you in understanding stock options and trading.

I am offering a Refer-A-Friend Subscription Match Plan until next Friday, April 15,2016. On any subscription plan three (3) months or longer, I will match that for a friend or family member, so basically you can get the subscription at half price that way when referring someone.

On June 13 – 17, 2016, I will be having a seminar in San Diego, CA at the San Diego Convention Center that is both teaching and live trading debit spreads for earnings and weekly trades. If you are interested in these great trading strategies, you won’t find a better teacher of them, I can assure you. Here is the link to the seminar and more additional information: http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=1690. Each attendee also receives a free three (3) month subscription to my Trading Forum http://kevinmobrien.com/forum/index.php.

If you have any questions, please feel free to e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com. Thanks again.

-Kevin

Free Earnings Trade of the Week: CarMax Inc. (KMX) – Reports Before The Markets Open 4/7/16

CarMax Inc. (KMX) is scheduled to report earnings before the markets open on Thursday, 4/7/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Dec 18, 2015

53.44
53.90
50.57
53.49
20,119,800
53.49

Dec 17, 2015

58.81
59.16
57.11
57.15
4,757,100
57.15

While the stock moved down a decent amount last quarter, it wasn’t too significant. Even if the stock were to repeat the same movement this quarter, the Neutral Calendar Spread strategy will do well. The current Implied Volatility on the April 2016 calls is 76, while the May 2016 calls are at 42, so this is an angle to take advantage of, especially on a non-volatile stock. I am giving this trade a 9/10.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -25 KMX Apr16 52.5 Call

Buy 25 KMX May16 52.5 Call


Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,375.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,375.00
Estimated Commission
$75.00


Greeks / NBBO

IV
KMX Apr16
52.5 Call
76.21

KMX May16
42.02


NBBO
0.40 – 0.75. Try to pay 0.55 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.58. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

KMX NCS 4616

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow right before the opening bell.

Update 1: 9:25 am EST:
Pre-market, the stock is up about $1.70/share. It also had a bit of a run-up late yesterday before the markets closed, but nothing major. I am placing the price to close this trade out at $1.50 for now. I will update any changes here, if needed.

Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) Updated List – 3/11/16

Here is the current (4) tier list of the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS), current as of 3/11/16:

Tier 1: AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, FB, GOOGL, LNKD, NFLX, PCLN, TSLA


Tier 2: BA, BABA, TWTR, FIT, UA, CRM, GPRO, C, FDX

Tier 3: BBY, EBAY, STZ, EXPE, CMG, AKAM, DIS, BWLD, PYPL

Tier 4: HD, IBM, MNST, ULTA, SQ, CAT, PX, GDDY, UPS

If you have any questions about the strategy or stock options in general, you can e-mail me anytime at kmob79@gmail.com

Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Square, Inc. (SQ) – Earnings/Long-Term Trade – Expires June 2016

Square, Inc. (SQ) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Wednesday, 3/9/16.

This trade is both an earnings and long-term trade combo. It expires in June 2016. I have been meaning to buy some (SQ) calls for a while, and with earnings due after the bell today, see an opportunity here. Even if the stock should drop post-earnings, the time-value of this trade will hold value in these calls. If the stock should make a significant move upward, this trade has the potential to turn out extremely well. 9/10.

Entered Trade

Buy 10 SQ Jun16 11 Call


Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,650.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,650.00
Estimated Commission
$15.00

NBBO
1.35 – 2.00. Try to pay 1.65 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 1.80. I will post the STC tomorrow before the opening bell.

Update 1: 3:55 pm EST. I I am in this trade at 1.65. Already a nice gain, could sell. But with this amount of time left, June exp. will keep it.
Update 2: 9:25 am EST 3/10/16 : Pre-market, the stock is up about $0.20/share. The earnings report was good, and I see this stock continuing to rise. With a lot of time-value left on this trade, I am placing the STC at $4.00 on the calls, as I see the stock heading towards $15.00/share in the near-term future. I will be updating this trade periodically if there are any changes to the STC.
Update 3: 3:34 pm EST 3/10/16: STC still at $4.00. The stock dropped a little bit, nothing significant. Should make a move upward soon. I do not recommend selling anything short of $3.00 if you do not plan to get $4.00.

Very Active Trading This Week Using The Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS)

It has been a busy week using the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). You can see the trade log at http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=480, where I provide the date, time, ticker symbol, expiration date, price paid, and the sell-to-close (STC) price above what was paid per contract. All of these trades are posted in real-time in the Skype/Chatzy chatrooms daily.

If you have any questions about the strategy or stock options in general, you can e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com

Also, I provide a free copy of my book on Bollinger Bands and how to use this technical indicator to trade options (and stocks) daily. Just send me an e-mail and I will send you a copy in PDF format.

Thanks.

-Kevin

Weekly Citigroup (C) Reverse Iron Condor Trade – Expires Next Friday, 2/26/16

Each week on Thursday morning, I place my Reverse Iron Condor trades. Citigroup (C) for years has been one of my favorite stocks to use this strategy with. A Reverse Iron Condor is a combination of a Bull Call Spread and a Bear Put Spread. There are 4 “legs” to this strategy. Last week’s Citigroup trade closed out a a 100 % profit, as is usually the case. The key to this strategy is to place it each week, as the compounded gains yearly add up to a very nice profit. I do not recommend trading it one week, and then skipping the next. These trades are also very inexpensive to place, so a great source of additional income weekly, and they require little monitoring. Once the stock starts moving in a specific direction, I will post the price to close out the profitable side of the trade.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Buy 100 C FebWk4 38 Put

Sell -100 C FebWk4 37 Put

Buy 100 C FebWk4 41 Call

Sell -100 C FebWk4 42 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$3,600.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$3,600.00
Estimated Commission
$600.00


NBBO
0.23 – 0.49. Try to pay 0.36 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.39. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

Q C RIC 21816

Update 1: 8:25 am EST 2/22/16. (C) is up 0.70 pre-market. I am placing the price to close the call side of this trade (bull call spread) at $0.85. On the put side, leave that open for now. There are times where both sides of the trade can profit weekly, and you do not want to sell one side too early.

Update 2: 3:05 pm EST
: STC on the put side at 0.70. On the call side, place the STC at 0.60, day order only.Will update this trade pre-market tomorrow morning

Update 3:
2/24/16: STC at 1.00 on the put side of this trade. On the call side

Trading In Volatile and Down Market Days Using the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS)

I am often asked how I trade in market conditions that are unpredictable and volatile, especially down markets? My answer is simple: I really do not care what the markets are doing in terms of direction when using the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). When I check pre-market news and the futures data, I actually prefer to see the markets open down. This is usually a good sign that there will be some early call option trades that are quick in and outs.

Some investors and traders tend to flee and sell their long call or stock positions when they see the markets moving the way they are lately. I see opportunities. THE DOTS strategy has a resiliency and rigor to it that is unique. Just by looking at the trade log on my website, http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=480, you will see that most of the trades made are call positions. This was also the case in 2008 and 2009, my best years ever trading the DOTS. It would seem that buying puts would have been the way to go then, but not using the DOTS. Even on a stock like Citigroup (C) and other financial related securities in 2008/2009, which were falling precipitously daily, the DOTS still provided plenty of call buying opportunities daily. The way the strategy is structured, with the Bollinger Bands and the bottom 4 indicators (the Relative Strength Index, the Intraday Momentum Index, the Money Flow Index, and the Full Stochastic Oscillator, with the settings and parameters I use for each) prove to be very adept at spotting true lows daily in a given security. In fact, put trades were very rare during that time, and they still are now.

The settings used for each indicator are crucial to the success of the strategy. When I began developing the strategy, I went through every setting possible with each indicator in tandem. What I use now is the way to best use this strategy and has held up so well after all these years, under every market condition. From trading after the post September 11th attacks, the mortgage crisis and the banks, Greece and the Eurozone problems, oil fluctuations, and now with the current volatility daily. The bottom line is that the strategy works.

This strategy keeps the emotion out of trades. This is a very important aspect of it. It also requires patience and discipline. My point of this post is to not stop trading because of how the current market landscape is or what it will be in the future.

Like any trading strategy, repetition only expedites and enhances the ability to spot great trading opportunities. This is especially true when understanding the Bollinger Bands when using the Daily Options Trading Strategy. The bottom four indicators (the RSI, IMI, MFI, and the FSO) are static, in that once their respective buy points are reached, there is nothing else to look for on them. The Bollinger Bands are the most important element of the strategy. They provide a trader with great insight into the future movement of the stock and the volatility. The Bollinger Bands also show when to avoid a a trade, which is extremely important. If anyone is interested in a PDF file of my book on Bollinger Bands for free, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com. . For day trading purposes using the DOTS, I prefer the settings as shown below:

BB 21716

TWTR DOTS 21716

One of the benefits of my subscription service is that I do all of the work for you ahead of each trade. Before each possible trade, I post the ticker symbol, the strike price, expiration, and my sell-to-close (STC) price ahead of each trade. I do all of the necessary “homework” before hand: checking any news that may be related to the stock, the daily highs and lows, the bid/ask prices, and the daily volume. My subscription service is not just an e-mail that tells you what to trade when it is far too late. This is real-time live trading, with me on Skype and Chatzy from 8:00 am EST until the markets close, and later. Along with the trades, I am always answering questions that any subscriber may have. I have a policy that if you are not happy with the service after one full week of trading, I will refund your subscription with no questions asked whatsoever.

If you have any questions about the daily strategy, the subscription, or any general questions about trading, please e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com.

-K

Free Earnings Trade Of The Week: The Walt Disney Company (DIS) – Reports After The Markets Close On Tuesday, 2/9/16

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Tuesday, February 9, 2016.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Nov 6, 2015

114.60
116.75
114.57
115.67
16,803,400
115.67


Nov 5, 2015

113.26
113.93
111.60
113.00
14,843,700
113.00

Historically, (DIS) does not move a lot post-earnings. I like the Neutral Calendar Spread here, which is a strategy that takes advantage of overpriced options and time-decay. The current Implied Volatility (IV) on the February Week 2 expiration is 86.77, while the Implied Volatility on the February 2016 expiration is 54.02. I am expecting the stock this quarter to move around $2.00 -$2.50/share This fits in well with the Neutral Calendar Spread strategy, as the break-even points are wide and the potential ROI is also high. I am giving this trade a 9/10.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -25 DIS FebWk2 91 Call

Buy 25 DIS Feb16 91 Call


Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,000.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,000.00
Estimated Commission
$75.00


Greeks / NBBO

IV

DIS FebWk2 91 Call

86.77

DIS Feb16 91 Call

54.02

NBBO 0.30 – 0.50. Try to pay 0.40 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.43.

See the attachment for the profit/loss chart. I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow before the opening bell.

DIS NCS 2916

Update 1: 9:25 am EST
: I am placing the closing price at 0.80. I will update any changes to this here, if needed.

Update 2: 1:48 pm EST: This trade is looking very good. STC still at 0.80.

Update 3: 2/1116: Position Closed.

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