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Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Six Flags Entertainment (SIX) – Reports Before the Markets Open 10/26/16

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (SIX) is scheduled to report earnings before the markets open on Wednesday, 10/26/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Jul 27, 2016


Jul 26, 2016


This is one of those trades where the price to place it alone makes it worth trading. Last quarter, (SIX) did not make a significant move at all, and while I am expecting the stock to move more this quarter, the break-even points on the P/L chart using a Neutral Calendar Spread strategy are very wide. The only minor issue regarding this trade is the lack of weekly options. other than that, this is an excellent set-up here. I am still giving this trade a 10/10 if you are able to get the order filled at my recommended price. It will retain value regardless how it moves tomorrow once the markets open.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -50 SIX Nov16 50 Call

Buy 50 SIX Dec16 50 Call


Option Requirement
Total Requirements
Estimated Commission

0.00 – 0.30. Try to pay 0.20 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.22. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the markets open


Update 1: 10/26/16, 9:25 am EST. – Pre-market, the stock is down $1.25/share. I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at $0.50. I will update any changes here.

Update 2: 10/26/16. 10:10 am EST. This trade is in a good spot. Just need time-decay to kick in. Be patient with the trade. STC still at 0.50.

Update 3: STC *(net credit) now at 0.40

Free Earnings Trade of the Week Starts Back Tomorrow

I will be posting a free Earnings Trade of the Week starting tomorrow and will post at least one trade per week here on the website. I will try to post each trade by 11:45 am EST but no later than 2:00 pm EST (depending on the stock/pricing, etc.). There are a lot of companies reporting tomorrow after the markets close, so will definitely have at least few trades to place. Yesterday’s Strangle on Netflix (NFLX), which I mentioned in an earlier post this morning, netted a 150% return on the call side, which I sold already. I still have the put side with one month of time-value.

My trading style is to close out profitable trades as soon as possible, and that was a great trade at a good price to pay at $3.10. I thought when initially looking at different strike prices that it would cost more than that. The pricing of options, and especially on the Straddle/Strangle strategy, are critical to their success.

If you have any questions about options, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com


CBOE’s Useful IVolatility Tool – Website Link

One tool I like to use with stock options, especially on Straddle or Strangle trades, but also long-term trades, is the Chicago Board Options Exchange IVolatility options calculator/pricer. The link is here: www.cboe.com/framed/IVolframed.aspx?content=http%3a%2f%2fcboe.ivolatility.com%2fcalc%2findex.j%3fcontract%3dC44A90FE-8D3F-4F26-A1EA-AAB6AB7CB180&sectionName=SEC_TRADING_TOOLS&title=CBOE%20-%20IVolatility%20Services.

This calculator allows trader’s to put in a ticker symbol and choose their own parameters, such as the strike price, expiration date, current volatility percentage, and the current share price in relation to the strike price. One this information is added in, the calculator will then compute all of the parameters and show the estimated (very accurate) price for both the call and put options. This is especially handy for new option traders, but also very useful for options that have a longer expiration date and time-value left.

I am frequently asked how do I know what a good price to place the sell-to-close order should be on strategies such as the Straddle/Strangle, which has both call and put options placed simultaneously, a neutral-based strategy.

Yesterday, 10/17/16, I placed a Strangle on Netflix (NFLX), using November $115.00 strike price calls and November $85.00 put options. The stock was trading at $100.00/share at the time of placement and fill. I paid $3.10 to place this trade. Since there is about a month of time-value left on both legs of the strategy, I do not want to sell either side of the trade too low. Pre-market on Tuesday, the stock is up about $18.50 a share, so I have a general idea of what the call side will be trading at just based on experience and the intrinsic value alone, but the put side may also still have some value, especially should there be a pull back on the stock.

One important thing: after earnings, the Implied Volatility of a given security will drop. This is because the news is already out as to the results post-earnings and the uncertainty is mostly removed as to what direction the stock will move. When using the IVolatility calculator, as a general rule, I like to lower the volatility percentage about 20 points. So if the chart on the calculator had a volatility percentage of 58 pre-earnings, use 38 when you input the new information. This may be too much, or too little, but it will give you a good idea as to the average drop of volatility. I do this pre-market.

On earnings trades, you can always use trailing stops if you think the trade will keep gaining in value in relation to how the stock is moving.

If you have any questions, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

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