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Free Earnings Trade of the Week: Six Flags Entertainment (SIX) – Reports Before the Markets Open 10/26/16

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (SIX) is scheduled to report earnings before the markets open on Wednesday, 10/26/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:


Jul 27, 2016

56.16
58.30
56.00
56.69
3,912,700
56.02

Jul 26, 2016

59.22
60.00
58.85
59.46
1,378,000
58.75

This is one of those trades where the price to place it alone makes it worth trading. Last quarter, (SIX) did not make a significant move at all, and while I am expecting the stock to move more this quarter, the break-even points on the P/L chart using a Neutral Calendar Spread strategy are very wide. The only minor issue regarding this trade is the lack of weekly options. other than that, this is an excellent set-up here. I am still giving this trade a 10/10 if you are able to get the order filled at my recommended price. It will retain value regardless how it moves tomorrow once the markets open.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -50 SIX Nov16 50 Call

Buy 50 SIX Dec16 50 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,000.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,000.00
Estimated Commission
$125.00

NBBO
0.00 – 0.30. Try to pay 0.20 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.22. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the markets open

six-ncs-102516

Update 1: 10/26/16, 9:25 am EST. – Pre-market, the stock is down $1.25/share. I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at $0.50. I will update any changes here.

Update 2: 10/26/16. 10:10 am EST. This trade is in a good spot. Just need time-decay to kick in. Be patient with the trade. STC still at 0.50.

Update 3: STC *(net credit) now at 0.40

Excellent Week Trading Earnings & The Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS)

Is has been a great week so far both with the start of Earnings Season and the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Here is the list of DOTS trades so far this week (10/17/16 – 10/20/16):

630. Monday, 10/17/16. AMZN at 9:41 am EST. 1.50 STC order above price paid/contract. November 815.00 calls. Group chat paid an average of 32.85 per contract.
631. Monday, 10/17/16. ULTA at 9:47 am EST. 0.60 STC order above price paid/contract. November 260.00 calls. Paid 7.60 per contract.
632. Tuesday, 10/18/16. TSLA at 1:14 pm EST. 0.70 STC order above price paid/contract. November 195.00 calls. Paid 10.30 per contract. Quick trade.
633. Tuesday, 10/18/16. TSLA at 1:20 pm EST. 2.20 STC order above price paid/contract. November 195.00 calls Paid 9.60 per contract. Used a Trailing Stop.
634. Wednesday, 10/19/16. NUGT at 10:18 am EST. 0.25 STC order above price paid/contract. November 13.00 calls. Paid 2.45 per contract.
635. Wednesday, 10/19/16. ULTA at 10:01 am EST. 0.44 STC order above price paid/contract. November 255.00 calls. Paid 6.16 per contract.
636. Thursday, 10/20/16. BIDU at 9:39 am EST. 0.55 STC order above price paid/contract. November 175.00 calls, Paid 7.75 per contract.
637. Thursday, 10/20/16. TSLA at 9:41 am EST. 0.90 STC order above price paid/contract. November 200.00 calls. Paid 8.75 per contract.
638. Thursday, 10/20/16. AAPL at 10:40 am EST. 0.30 STC order above price paid/contract. November 115.00 calls. Paid 3.90 per contract.

You can see the Daily Trade Log at the top of the page.

As far as earnings, every trade so far this week has been a winner (already closed out). I also placed 3 new Earnings trades today.

earnings-kob-oct-week-3

Next week is stacked with earnings, one of the biggest weeks really in the next few months. During slow periods today, I was preparing for a busy week next week.

I have reduced the subscription rates during the busy period during earnings season (until October 31st).

If you have any questions, please e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks again.

-Kevin

Free Earnings Trade of the Week Starts Back Tomorrow

I will be posting a free Earnings Trade of the Week starting tomorrow and will post at least one trade per week here on the website. I will try to post each trade by 11:45 am EST but no later than 2:00 pm EST (depending on the stock/pricing, etc.). There are a lot of companies reporting tomorrow after the markets close, so will definitely have at least few trades to place. Yesterday’s Strangle on Netflix (NFLX), which I mentioned in an earlier post this morning, netted a 150% return on the call side, which I sold already. I still have the put side with one month of time-value.

My trading style is to close out profitable trades as soon as possible, and that was a great trade at a good price to pay at $3.10. I thought when initially looking at different strike prices that it would cost more than that. The pricing of options, and especially on the Straddle/Strangle strategy, are critical to their success.

If you have any questions about options, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks.

Earnings Season Starts This Week – Will Be a Busy Few Weeks Trading

With Alcoa (AA) and the big bank stocks reporting earnings this week (C), (JPM), (WFC), the next month will be full of earnings trades. I use trading strategies that take a neutral approach towards earnings. These include the Strangle, the Reverse Iron Condor, and the Neutral Calendar Spread.

There are still a couple of days left for the reduced subscription rates + match plan that I am offering.

If you have any questions about options or the strategies mentioned above, please e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks.

-Kevin

Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) – Updates List of Stocks Used – Current as of 9/6/16

Here is the current list of stocks used with the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) as of September 6, 2016:

Tier 1: AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, BABA, GOOGL, FB, NFLX, PCLN, TSLA

Tier 2: BA, BWLD, TWTR, CMG, IBM, FDX, HD, C, FIT

Tier 3: EXPE, COST, SQ, PYPL, DPZ, CRM, DIS, UPS, ULTA

Tier 4: PNRA, PII, INTU, GPRO, FFIV, PX, V, NUGT, AVGO

I separate each group of stocks used into groups of 9, using a grid view. This makes it easier to navigate different tabs and follow each stock without having to close out any tabs or leave any page.

If you have any questions, you can contact me at kmob79@gmail.com.

Thanks.

A Look at Next Weeks Earnings Releases and Trading Opportunities (7/18/16 – 7/22/16)

Next week, July 18th – July 22nd, will be full of some very good earnings trades. Here is a list of the stocks I will be looking to trade .

NFLX, VMW, YOO, ISRG, LMT, MSFT, UNH, AXP, EBAY, FFIV, IMAX, INTC, LVS, MAT, PII, QCOM, TSCO, URI, AMD, ATHN, SAM, COF, DHI, DPZ, DNKN, FLEX, GM, P, PYPL, SBUX, SYK, HON, VFC

As earnings season kicks into full gear next week there should be at least a few weeks with a lot of activity. When trading earnings releases, I use neutral-based strategies such as the Reverse Iron Condor, the Neutral Calendar Spread, the Double Neutral Calendar Spread, and the Straddle/Strangle.

If you have any questions about these strategies, stock options, or the subscription plans, you can e-mail me at: kmob79@gmail.com

Very Busy Trading Day Using the Daily Options Trading Strategy on Thursday, June 16, 2016.

Today, 6/16/16, was a very busy day using the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Here is the list of trades made and closed out already.

550. Thursday, 6/16/16. TSLA at 9:41 am EST. 0.70 STC order above price paid/contract. July 215.00 calls. Paid 9.85 per contract.
551. Thursday, 6/16/16. BA at 9:51 am EST. 0.25 STC order above price paid/contract. July 130.00 calls. Paid 2.35 per contract.
552. Thursday, 6/16/16. FIT at 9:57 am EST. Original STC at 0.15 (Sold at break-even). July 13.00 calls. Paid 0.75 per contract.
553. Thursday, 6/16/16. FB at 10:04 am EST. 0.30 STC order above price paid/contract. July 115.00 calls. Paid 2.55 per contract.
554. Thursday, 6/16/16. BABA at 10:06 am EST. 0.30 STC order above price paid/contract. July 75.00 calls. Paid 3.50 per contract.
555. Thursday, 6/16/16. BIDU at 11:01 am EST. 0.60 STC order above price paid/contract. July 165.00 puts. Paid 7.00 per contract.

Here is the link to my Daily Trade Log using the DOTS: http://kevinmobrien.com/?page_id=480

This strategy works great in up or down markets, but actually prefer the markets to open down, as this presents more call buying opportunities. Overall, 5 call trades and one put trade so far…

The subscription service provides all of these trades in real-time, using Skype and Chatzy simultaneously, providing you with the ticker symbol, expiration date, STC (sell-to-close price above what is paid per contract) in advance of each trade, and when the position is closed out and at what price. The subscription also includes access to the Trading Forum, where I post my Weekly and Earnings trades, along with some long-term trades.

If you have any questions, you can e-mail me anytime at: kmob79@gmail.com

Thanks again.

-Kevin

Updated Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS) List of Securities Used – Current as of 6/15/16

Here is the current list of stocks I use for the Daily Options Trading Strategy (DOTS). Updated on Wednesday, June 15, 2016. I have removed (LNKD) from Tier 1 due to Microsoft’s acquisition of LinkedIn http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/14/microsoft-got-linkedin-users-at-a-discount.html?__source=yahoo%7Cfinance%7Cheadline%7Cheadline%7Cstory&par=yahoo&doc=103711613 and replaced it with (BABA):

Tier 1: AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOGL, NFLX, FB, PCLN, BABA, TSLA

Tier 2: BA, ULTA, TWTR, CMG, SQ, IBM, GPRO, FIT, V

Tier 3: DIS, EXPE, FFIV, CRM, DPZ, FDX, PANW, STZ, PX

Tier 4: BWLD, COST, UPS, MNST, AVGO, HD, PII, INTU, LULU

Earnings Trade of the Week: PVH Corp. (PVH) Reports Earnings After The Markets Close On 5/25/16

PVH Corp. (PVH) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Wednesday, 5/25/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:


Mar 24, 2016

92.43
95.25
90.69
94.29
3,632,200
94.25

Mar 23, 2016

88.30
88.96
87.42
87.63
1,677,800
87.59

(PVH) has been a consistent winner over the years using a Neutral Calendar Spread, which I will also use here. I like this trade a lot. It has wide break-even points. If the stock only makes a marginal price move post-earnings, this trade will do extremely well, and still has plenty of room even if it moves more than expected. I am giving this trade a 9.5/10. Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -15 PVH Jun16 90 Call

Buy 15 PVH Jul16 90 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$1,200.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$1,200.00
Estimated Commission
$45.00

NBBO
0.50 – 1.10. Try to pay 0.80 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.90. See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

PVH NCS 52416

I will post the price to close this trade out tomorrow morning, right before the opening bell.

Update 1: 9:25 am EST on 5/26/16: I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at $1.60. I will update any changes to this here, as needed.
Update 2: 3:20 pm EST on 5/26/16: I am increasing the price to close this trade out (net credit) to 1.70.
Update 3: 1:05 pm EST on 5/27/16: Current price to close this trade out now at $1.60.

Earnings Trade of the Week: Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX) – Reports After The Markets Close On Thursday, 4/21/16

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX) is scheduled to report earnings after the markets close on Thursday, 4/21/16.

Last quarter, the stock had the following price movement after reporting earnings:

Feb 11, 2016

29.30
30.35
26.35
28.24
12,018,500
28.24


Feb 10, 2016

27.23
28.14
27.01
27.17
4,247,300
27.17

The Implied Volatility (IV) on the weekly April Week 4 expiration at-the-money strike is a extremely high 301.69, compared to the May 2016 at-the-money strike of 66.77. Clearly, there is a big price move expected in relation to the share price. I don’t think it happens. Just as last quarter, the stock really didn’t move too much, and while I expect it to do more than that this quarter, a trader has to take advantage of past history and an elevated IV level as this trade has, which will again be a Neutral Calendar Spread. This trade, as mentioned, has weekly options, is priced very good, and a lot of factors working in its favor. It will also hold value very well even in the event it moves more than expected post-earnings. I am giving this trade a 10/10. A must trade.

Here is how the trade is placed:

Entered Trade

Sell -75 SKX AprWk4 30 Call

Buy 75 SKX May16 30 Call

Requirements

Cost/Proceeds
$2,850.00
Option Requirement
$0.00
Total Requirements
$2,850.00
Estimated Commission
$225.00


Greeks / NBBO

SKX AprWk4
30 Call
301.69

SKX May16
30 Call
66.77

NBBO
0.25 – 0.50. Try to pay 0.38 or less for this trade. At a maximum, pay up to 0.41.

See the attachment for the profit/loss chart.

SKX NCS 42116

Update 1: 4/22/16, 9:20 am EST: Pre-market, the stock is up $2.20/share. I am placing the price to close this trade out (net credit) at 1.00. I will update any changes here, if needed.

Update 2 9:34 am EST: : Price to close this trade out now at 0.85.

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